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foreign exchange market

Foreign currency:



SPOT RATE
It is the rate at which a foreign exchange trade can be immediately transacted. The reason for spot market is
         i.            Settle a commercial transaction through buying and selling local currency.
       ii.            Settle a financial operation(e.g. buying FC for repayment of loan or interest)
     iii.            Balance or hedge an unwanted position in FC
     iv.            Increase/decrease a currency position as a speculative move owing to expected future currency movements.
While some major currency are traded directly (Rs/SR, Rs/JPY) while smaller currencies are traded indirectly. The banks normally quote as SR 23.1212_23.1532. This is buying and selling rate of the bank while the difference is termed as spread. The spread in interbank is expressed as points or pips i.e. 1/10,000th share of unit of currency. The smaller currencies are not expressed directly but expressed in terms of USD or EUR e.g.

90.1254_90.8934Rs=1$
34.3452_34.8765N=1$
Cross rate=34.3453/90.1254-34.8765/90.8934=0.3412_0.3576

The rates are published daily by bank for commonly traded currencies but it fluctuates on real time basis therefore, customer must get current currency information before committing any trade deal. However, information can also be obtained through other means e.g. Reuters
                                                               
The bid-ask spread increase with rate volatility and decreases with dealers’ competition. The news of economic adjustments like unemployment, trade deficit, inflation, GDP and interest rates play a role in fluctuation in foreign exchange rates.
FORWARD MARKET
The forward contract creates an obligation between two parties to exchange a fixed amount of currency for another currency at an agreed rate and date.
 Forward rate are usually available in those currencies for which spot market exists. However, rates are not quoted as real currency rates but as differences from the spot rates (forward points). Theses points are mainly dependent on the length of time and respective interest rates. Forward rates are contracts in the form of contracts for currency swaps.
The obvious example is that the forward rates do not change automatically. These are not constantly changing  like spot rates.


CALCULATION OF FORWARD RATE:
The interest rates, economic performance are the basis for calculation of forward rate. The forward rates is obtained by adding/subtracting the difference between the lending and borrowing rates for two currencies up until due date.
TRIANGULAR ARBITRAGE
The process of making profit by converting currency A into Currency B which is then used to buy Currency C and then C is converted back to A.
CURRENCY EXPOSURE
The currency exposure OR the translation exposure is divided into two separate parts:
         i.            Economic exposure
       ii.            Balance/translation exposure
     iii.            Payment/transaction exposure
Economic Exposure
The change in the value of an entity by change in the foreign exchange rates.

BALANCE EXPOSURE
It is in fact the accounting risk. It appears in the company’s books of account while consolidating foreign assets. The foreign assets are when translated for consolidation in the parent’s company give a distorted picture which may not be representative of the real value of assets.
For example the assets in foreign currency which are finance by a foreign currency loan are consolidated in the parent company’s account by using the rate at acquisition date, whereas the corresponding loan is translated using the account closing date. Therefore, floating exchange rates always affect account whether positive or negative. This adjustment would be inaccurate if they do not reflect the true value of assets.

PAYMENT /TRANSACTION EXPOSURE
This relates to flow of payments in foreign currency for trading, interest and dividend payment between a parent and its subsidiary companies or any trading partner. The exchange rates instantly affect the cash flow and resulting gain/loss is recognized in the income statement.



STRATEGIES FOR CURRENCY EXPOSURE
          i.            Try to keep the exposure as low as possible at all times and cover the risk systematically as they occur.
        ii.            Selective coverage for one or more currencies or amounts exceeding a certain limit or exposure over certain periods.
       iii.            Not to cover the exposure at all, normally when exposure is small
However, a combination of above is most suitable.



CURRENCY POSITION SCHEDULE
HEDGING CURRENCY RISK



The most commonly used methods are
         i.            Choice of currency
       ii.            Currency steering
     iii.            Payments brought forward
     iv.            Forward currency contracts
       v.            Currency options
     vi.            Short-term currency loans
    vii.            Invoice discounting
  viii.            Currency clauses
      ix.            Tender exchange rate insurance





CHOICE OF CURRENCY
Invoicing in own currency can eliminate the FC exposure for the exporter similarly importer can get rid of the foreign currency risk by accepting the invoice in own currency. If both currency are not easily convertible then in the currency of any third country whose currency is stable and readily convertible in the market or dealings in third country’s currency are common in country (USD in Afghanistan).  However, the following are worth to consider
a)       Invoicing currency is freely convertible and actively traded.
b)      Does it have the trading volumes needed to give it market stability?
c)       The forward market working properly for the volumes and time periods that may be applicable to transaction.



CURRENCY STEERING
It is the management of currency positions. If an entity has the inflow/outflows in the same currency it may be possible to match parts of payment flows through the choice of currency.

PAYMENTS BROUGHT FORWARD (LEAD/LAG STRATEGY)
To request the buyer to make payments in advance or before maturity date not only to ease the liquidity position but to avoid the currency exposure as well. But importer, on the other hand, would consider these early payments as disadvantage unless they get any incentive for early payment. However, an exporter can make it possible by making quick deliveries of goods, delivering documents in short period of time and having payment against documents mode of payment and enforcing tight credit control.

FORWARD CURRENCY CONTRACTS/FORWARD MARKET HEDGE
The most commonly used method of hedging the risk is through a forward contract with a bank whereby the company can fix the value in local currency at an early stage but with delivery of the foreign currency at a later date. It is useful when payment/receipt can be predicted with accuracy.

CURRENCY OPTIONS
An alternative to the forward currency contract where the holder of an option has the option but not the obligation to buy or sell the currency at an agreed rate and date. The holder is required to pay an upfront premium to the bank but not the commission or other charges.



The types are:
Put (vanilla) option: (the right but not obligation to sell currency)
Call option (the right but not obligation to buy the currency)
Basket option: where the holder sells a basket of currencies against a single currency or vice versa
Caller option: it consists of simultaneous purchase of put and call options for the same principal amount and maturity period but with different strike prices.
Cap and floor contract: the seller (or buyer) can take advantage of favourable price movement to the upper end of contract range while remain protected against move below the lower end. The contract settle at spot rate and customer pays a net premium based on the structure of the set limits.
The agreed rate at which the exchange of currency takes place is called the strike or exercise price.

SHORT-TERM CURRENCY LOANS (MONEY MARKET HEDGE)
This is although a type of finance but the seller can use these loans as hedge for the future incoming foreign currency payments. The hedging cost will then be interest rate less profit on the deposit of local currency. It will normally result in cost similar to that of forward contract.

INVOICE DISCOUNTING
This is also a form of short term financing where proceed from export are used to repay the loan.

CURRENCY CLAUSES
When counter parties agree to avoid the currency risk, it can be tempting to use some sort of currency clause with the intent of sharing or dividing the risk between them. e.g. if an importer buys goods from Pakistan with a fixed exchange rate floor against Pak Rs. If rupee weakens against $ during the contract period the seller would then automatically be compensated through receiving a corresponding higher amount. The parties could also agree on similar cap to buyer’s advantage.

TENDER EXCHANGE RATE INSURANCE
It is also called as the tender exchange risk indemnity. If one quote for a tender in fixed foreign currency, he may lose the money if the local currency depreciates against the foreign currency; therefore, this indemnity is obtained from an insurer to avoid the risk. These are provided for shorter periods. They buyer of this insurance policy pays a fraction of insurance premium upfront and the balance is paid if tender is successful.

OPERATING/TRANSACTION EXPOSURE
The extent to which the operating cash flows would be affected by random changes in foreign exchange rates.
Unlike the exposure to assets and liabilities that are listed in the Balance Sheet the exchange rate fluctuations can affect the operating cash flows of an entity which may force it out of competition.
 For example if there are two persons competing in the Pakistan’s market for sale of Urea. One is buying locally and other one is importing from Saudi Arabia. If SR’s appreciate as compare to Rupee the import will be costly than buying locally which has not been affected due to appreciation in SR. the effect could be vice versa.


MANAGING OPERATING EXPOSURE
1-      Selecting low-cost production sites
2-      Flexible sourcing policy
3-      Diversification of the market
4-      Product differentiation
5-      Financial hedging


TRANSLATION EXPOSURE (ACCOUNTING EXPOSURE)
Before discussing the method of translation of foreign subsidiary, associate’s financial statement. The following rates are used for translation before consolidating into parent’s financial statements.
Description
Rate
Non-monetary assets (land, building, depreciation equity,)
Historical rate at which they were first recorded
Monetary assets (cash, bank, payable)
Current rate of exchange
Income statement
Average exchange rate for the period

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